2024 U.S. Open odds, golf predictions, picks: Scottie Scheffler projection by model that won last 2 majors (2024)

Scottie Scheffler has exploded on the scene since joining the PGA Tour in 2020. He has already recorded 10 victories on tour, including four in 2024. He won his second major at the Masters in April and will enter the 2024 U.S. Open as the odds-on betting favorite. According to the latest 2024 U.S. Open odds, Scheffler is the 4-1 favorite (risk $100 to win $400). The No. 1-ranked player in the world is followed by Rory McIlroy (9-1), Xander Schauffele (10-1), Brooks Koepka (12-1) and Jon Rahm (12-1) in the U.S. Open odds 2024.

Other top contenders in the 2024 U.S. Open field include Ludvig Aberg (14-1), Viktor Hovland (18-1) and Collin Morikawa (18-1). Should your 2024. U.S. Open prediction include backing Scheffler to lift the Claret Jug, or will a longshot like Jordan Spieth (35-1), Hideki Matsuyama (35-1) or Jason Day (45-1) win the third major of the year? Before locking in your 2024 U.S. Open picks or Scottie Scheffler props, be sure tosee the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up almost $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure's model correctly predicted Scottie Scheffler would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and The Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit at +9000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,000.

The model also predicted Jon Rahm would be victorious at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scheffler winning in 2022.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 12 majors entering the weekend, including three straight Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now with the U.S. Open 2024 field taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 U.S. Open predictions

One major surprise: Justin Thomas, a 33-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Thomas is a proven winner on the PGA Tour, having racked up 15 career victories. He has won two major championships and will enter the U.S. Open 2024 full of confidence.

The 31-year-old has finished T-8 or better in two of his last three starts and is among the best iron players on the PGA Tour. In fact, Thomas ranks seventh in strokes gained: approach to green (0.697). He has struggled with accuracy off the tee this season, ranking 110th at 60.23%, but he's still averaging 4.43 birdies per round, the seventh-best mark on tour. If he's driving the ball well at Pinehurst, Thomas will have a chance at being in contention for the Claret Jug.

The model has also examined where Scottie Scheffler finishes. Scheffler has racked up four wins already this season, which includes his second major championship at the Masters in April. Scheffler also finished on top of the leaderboard at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, Players Championship, and RBC Heritage.

He's finished outside the top-10 just once this season and is coming off a T-2 finish at the Charles Schwab Challenge in his latest start. He's been able to dominate the opposition thanks to his incredible ball-striking. Scheffler enters the 2024 U.S. Open ranked first in greens in regulation percentage (73.90%) and strokes gained: approach to green (1.348). He's also been effective on the green, ranking first in putting average (1.664), 12th in putts per round (28.00) and 19th in one-putt percentage (43.38%).The model just locked in its Scottie Scheffler U.S. Open picks here..

How to make 2024 U.S. Open picks

The model is also targeting two other golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.

Who will win the 2024 U.S. Open, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the U.S. Open 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected U.S. Open leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 12 golf majors, including the last three Masters and the PGA Championship.

2024 U.S. Open odds, field

Get full 2024 U.S. Open picks, best bets, and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler 4-1
Rory McIlroy 9-1
Xander Schauffele 10-1
Brooks Koepka 12-1
Jon Rahm 12-1
Ludvig Aberg 14-1
Viktor Hovland 18-1
Collin Morikawa 18-1
Bryson DeChambeau 20-1
Patrick Cantlay 22-1
Wyndham Clark 22-1
Joaquin Niemann 25-1
Cameron Smith 25-1
Max Homa 30-1
Justin Thomas 33-1
Cameron Young 35-1
Dustin Johnson 35-1
Jordan Spieth 35-1
Hideki Matsuyama 35-1
Shane Lowry 40-1
Sahith Theegala 40-1
Tom Kim 40-1
Tony Finau 40-1
Sungjae Im 40-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 40-1
Jason Day 45-1
Tommy Fleetwood 50-1
Min Woo Lee 50-1
Tyrrell Hatton 50-1
Brian Harman 55-1
Corey Conners 60-1
Sam Burns 60-1
Patrick Reed 60-1
Si Woo Kim 65-1
Justin Rose 65-1
Sepp Straka 70-1
Louis Oosthuizen 75-1
Abraham Ancer 75-1
Rickie Fowler 75-1
Adam Scott 75-1
Talor Gooch 75-1
Russell Henley 90-1
Daniel Berger 100-1
Keegan Bradley 100-1
Keith Mitchell 125-1
Ryan Fox 125-1
J.T. Poston 125-1
Billy Horschel 125-1
Tiger Woods 125-1
Sergio Garcia 125-1
Thomas Pieters 150-1
Kurt Kitayama 150-1
Phil Mickelson 150-1
Mito Pereira 150-1
Denny McCarthy 150-1
Harris English 150-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 150-1
Adam Schenk 175-1
Emiliano Grillo 175-1
Austin Eckroat 175-1
Robert MacIntyre 175-1
Marc Leishman 175-1
Adam Hadwin 175-1
Lucas Glover 200-1
Nick Taylor 200-1
Davis Riley 200-1
Mackenzie Hughes 200-1
Jason Kokrak 200-1
Harold Varner III 225-1
Seamus Power 225-1
Taylor Moore 250-1
Ben Kohles 250-1
Gary Woodland 250-1
Aaron Wise 250-1
Francisco Molinari 350-1
Joel Dahmen 350-1
Martin Kaymer 500-1
Bernhard Langer 750-1

2024 U.S. Open odds, golf predictions, picks: Scottie Scheffler projection by model that won last 2 majors (2024)

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